Monday, January 28, 2013

Will Israel Strike Iran's Nuclear Sites?


In 1981 Israelis bombed a French-built nuclear plant near Iraq's capital, Baghdad. Prime Minister Menachem Begin ordered the strike because Israel believed it was designed to make nuclear weapons to destroy Israel. U.S. made F-15 bombers and F-16 fighters destroyed the Osirak reactor 18 miles south of Baghdad.

You can read more details of the Israeli attack on Iraq at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/june/7/newsid_3014000/3014623.stm. Here is part of the official statement of the Israeli Government: "The atomic bombs which that reactor was capable of producing whether from enriched uranium or from plutonium, would be of the Hiroshima size. Thus a mortal danger to the people of Israel progressively arose."

We read of secret plans made by the Israelis to attack Iran at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2089-1522978,00.html. I didn't know they had plans until I started to write this article. I was just guessing. But evidently Israel has plans and the United States has no plans to stop them.

The contingency is that International efforts must fail before any such attack takes place. From past history, I doubt that Israel will listen to any such rhetoric. I think they will attack while the Americans in Iraq form a buffer between Israel and Iran. That is my theory and I'm sticking to it.

In light of Iran's president's, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, remarks that Israel should be wiped off the map and the major support that he received by his followers on the last Friday of the fasting month of Ramadan when he said his remarks were "just" and that the criticism by world leaders did not "have any validity," little doubt is left in my mind that Iran will continue its nuclear weapons programs and that Israel will not allow that to happen. See http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4384264.stm.

If Israel does attack, what will happen? Well,I don't think that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will sit on his thumbs. He might invade Iraq, risking his army just to cause as much misery to Americans as he possibly can. He might think like Dick Cheney that the Iraqis will welcome his troops and a great Jihad battle will raise his stakes in the Moslem world.

Cheney was dead wrong but Mahmoud Ahmadinejad could be lucky. A past war between Moslems may not be thought to be as negative as a past war between our crusading armies and Moslems.

Some experts should chime in here. What do I know for sure?

But I did know that Dick Cheney was whistling Dixie when he though the Americans would be greeted by loving arms. Did he really think that Bush War I was a great success to the Iraqis? We bombed the hell out of their cities, destroyed their infrastructure, left them without food and medicine, and left a buddle of widows, orphans, invalids, and angry family members of the dead. It's reported that many died in the aftermath of the war due to the lack of the necessities of life.

Let's hope the Iraqis will not welcome Mahmoud Ahmadinejad either.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may not start a major offensive in Iraq but he would surely increase his support to the insurgents there.

Alternatively, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad could attack Afghanistan using increased infiltrating guerrilla tactics which would disrupt our operations.

If and when the Israelis attack Iran, a whole new scenario will develop worldwide. 9/11 might seem like a nice fall day.

It's interesting to me that Bush War II is about attacking a country that does not and did not have nuclear weapons rather than attacking North Korea which does and did have nuclear weapons.

I fought in the Korean War. We learned that North Korea has a big brother and he knows how to fight. Are we not attacking North Korea's nuclear sites because of China's nuclear weapons?

I think so.

But again, what do I know?




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